Another tropical storm may be heading for the already storm-battered east coast of the US & central America. The newest tropical storm, Dorian, started forming Wednesday afternoon in the eastern Atlantic ocean according to reports from the National Weather Service’s National Hurricane Center (NHC). Early maps posted by the NHC show Dorian currently building strength in the Atlantic waters a few hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.
Updates today show Dorian moving on a west/north-west path at a pace of 17MPH with max wind speeds of 60MPH. The storm has not yet eclipsed the metrics necessary to be classified as a cyclone, but that’s not to say that it couldn’t happen in the next few days so long as Dorian does not hit cold water and dissipate. The National Hurricane Center gives Dorian a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
The United States may be safe from the storm if it continues on its current path. This news will come as a relief to the citizens who have already gone through a handful of storms this season. Stay tuned to the National Weather Service for more news on tropical storm Dorian.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 25/1500Z 16.0N 35.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 16.6N 38.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 17.4N 42.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 18.0N 46.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 27/1200Z 18.7N 49.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 28/1200Z 19.8N 57.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 29/1200Z 20.7N 63.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 30/1200Z 21.5N 67.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
The forecast models are in good agreement over the next four or five days because Dorian is moving along the southern edge of a strong high pressure system.
Here’s what the 12z models looks like:
National Weather Service – National Hurricane Center
Tropical Storm DORIAN Forecast Discussion