Predictions for US 2014 Mid-Term Elections
Washington, D.C. – With the 2014 mid-term elections 10 days away, speculation has shifted from the political Left’s wishful thinking about their prospects to damage control regarding how bad the election will be for them. Some political pundits are expecting to see a wave of support for the Grand Old Party (GOP) in greater levels than were experienced in the 2010 mid-term elections. Four years ago, the GOP picked up six senate seats and 63 house seats. In addition, the majority of state governorships and legislatures also swung to the GOP.

This had the immediate effect of allowing the GOP to redraw voting districts following the decennial census. Part of the consequence of that election is that many seats in the House of Representatives are now safely in the control of the GOP. Largely for this reason, control of the House of Representatives was not considered at play in this election cycle. That said, the GOP is expecting to pick up as many as a dozen more seats to boost their sixteen seat majority.

All eyes have been focused on whether the GOP can repeat their 2010 success and pick up another six senate seats to take control of the upper chamber of the congress for the first time since 2006. As per the reputable website Politico, the GOP currently stands to pick up at least four seats putting 49 seats safely in their control with several races too close to call. However, there are other factors indicating how political tide is shifting. Senate Democrat candidates in tough elections in Georgia, Arkansas, and other states have been reluctant to admit whether they even voted for President Obama in either the 2008 or 2012 elections. Nor have Democrats in the states the GOP largely controls invited the president to campaign for them. Pollster Nate Silver, who accurately called the 2008 & 2012 elections, is predicting that the GOP stands a 60% chance of taking control of the senate with one likely outcome being that they will control 52 seats to the Democrats 48 seats.

Reference:
http://www.politico.com/2014-election/predictions/senate/#.VEt4Fit1Ow0
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/